DOCU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DOCU - DocuSign, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$52.54
-1.24 (-2.31%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your DOCU Gains
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DOCU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$94.77
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.84
10.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOCU is currently trading at $52.54, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.97 to $69.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (16.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOCU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.11 (+58.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $56.97 - $69.10
Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 58.3% below Wall St target ($85.11)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.6% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $56.97 - $69.10
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $51.90
Resistance Level $60.00
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.07
Wall Street Target $85.11 (+58.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 33.3%
Profit Margin 9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.1 vs 16.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $49.32 (-8%)
2-Year Target $45.22 (-16%)
3-Year Target $41.47 (-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→17) $53.62 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.8%) $118.06 (+120%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 8.8%) $69.19 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 11.1, Growth: 8.8%) $58.81 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case $123.67 (+135%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.2
Base Case $112.43 (+114%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.3
Bear Case $38.23 (-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.1 to 16.9
Stabilization Target: $69.54 (+29.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +29.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 8:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paula Hansen SELL 6000 shares 2025-10-07
Allan C Thygesen SELL 40000 shares 2025-10-01
James P Shaughnessy SELL 7500 shares 2025-10-01

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Advanced DOCU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DOCU price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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