DRS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DRS - Leonardo DRS, Inc. Common Stock

SEARCH, DETECTION, NAVAGATION, GUIDANCE, AERONAUTICAL SYS
$41.06
-0.24 (-0.58%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 22d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: DRS is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.18
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.54
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DRS is currently trading at $41.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.97 to $41.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 32.7) compared to its historical average (29.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DRS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.10 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $34.97 - $41.61
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($48.10)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $34.97 - $41.61
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.10
Resistance Level $43.25
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.68
Wall Street Target $48.10 (+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.8%
Profit Margin 7.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium
PE vs Historical 32.7 vs 29.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $42.50 (+4%)
2-Year Target $43.98 (+7%)
3-Year Target $45.52 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33β†’30) PE COMPRESSION $41.09 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.7, Growth: 14.9%) $62.33 (+52%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.9%) $42.53 (+4%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 14.9%) $36.15 (-12%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.99
Bull Case $59.28 (+44%)
Analyst growth 26.9%, PE expands to 47.2
Base Case $53.89 (+31%)
Market implied 26.9%, PE stable at 42.9
Bear Case $28.88 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:17 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Baylouny SELL 8481 shares 2025-10-15
John Baylouny SELL 11420 shares 2025-09-17
Michael Dippold SELL 19360 shares 2025-09-12

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