DT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DT - Dynatrace, Inc.
$37.21
1.30 (3.62%)
▲
5d:
-2.9%
30d:
+3.59%
90d:
-16.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
DT is down 5.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $45 2026-05-15 with 570 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DT trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.50
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.29
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DT is currently trading at $37.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.71 to $38.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.20, while resistance sits at $40.42. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.72 (+38.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.20, while resistance sits at $40.42. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.72 (+38.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$35.71 -
$38.97
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($49.72)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.71 -
$38.97
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.21
Resistance Level
$40.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.77
Wall Street Target
$49.72
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.1%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 22.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.68
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$31.60
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$29.64
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$35.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$63.25
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$53.00
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 13.9%)
$45.05
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 20.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.91
Bull Case
$46.27
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$38.32
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$29.31
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$43.43
(+20.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bernd Greifeneder
SELL
85 shares
2026-03-05
Stephen A Mcmahon
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-03
Michael Guest
SELL
2026-01-09
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