DVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DVA - DaVita Inc.
$199.74
7.16 (3.72%)
▲
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
+34.84%
90d:
+34.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 3.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DVA is 7.3% above its trading range ($186.09). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: DVA is 7.3% above its trading range ($186.09). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$256.95
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$159.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DVA is currently trading at $199.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $143.51 to $186.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $202.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: DVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $202.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: DVA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$143.51 -
$186.09
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.6%
Protect Your Profits
DVA is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($193.71)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.8% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Extended 7.3% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$143.51 -
$186.09
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$9.79
(4.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$148.00
Resistance Level
$202.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.63
Wall Street Target
$193.71
(-3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
43.5%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 9.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$215.32
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$232.11
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$250.22
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$200.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 16.1%)
$593.55
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 16.1%)
$312.65
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 16.1%)
$250.11
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.38
Bull Case
$350.65
(+76%)
Analyst growth 65.5%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$318.77
(+60%)
Market implied 65.5%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$130.95
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced DVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DVA price and gamma walls.
