EAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EAT - Brinker International, Inc.
$157.72
-2.92 (-1.82%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When EAT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EAT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EAT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$247.11
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$153.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EAT is currently trading at $157.72, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.12 to $163.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $152.26, while resistance sits at $168.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.05 (+21.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $152.26, while resistance sits at $168.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.05 (+21.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$149.12 -
$163.48
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.1% below Wall St target ($191.05)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$149.12 -
$163.48
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.26
Resistance Level
$168.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.82
Wall Street Target
$191.05
(+21.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
8.0%
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$157.72
(0%)
2-Year Target
$157.72
(0%)
3-Year Target
$157.72
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$157.47
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.0%)
$417.43
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 15.0%)
$239.99
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 15.0%)
$203.99
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.66
Bull Case
$215.34
(+37%)
Analyst growth 25.0%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$195.77
(+24%)
Market implied 25.0%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$106.52
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas N Comings
SELL
16000 shares
2025-09-09
Kevin Hochman
SELL
44000 shares
2025-08-27
Harriet Edelman
SELL
8325 shares
2025-08-14
Top Rated Restaurants Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Restaurants by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DPZ
Domino's Pizza Inc Commo… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$488 | 62 BUY |
|
YUMC
Yum China Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$58 | 63 BUY |
|
QSR
Restaurant Brands Intern… |
BUY
31 analysts |
$78 | 55 HOLD |
|
MCD
McDonald’s Corporation |
BUY
36 analysts |
$333 | 64 BUY |
|
DRI
Darden Restaurants Inc |
BUY
31 analysts |
$222 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced EAT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EAT price and gamma walls.
