EAT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EAT - Brinker International, Inc.
$136.69
3.02 (2.26%)
▲
5d:
-6.99%
30d:
-7.77%
90d:
-8.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EAT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EAT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$242.19
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$150.38
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EAT is currently trading at $136.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.58 to $150.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $129.58, while resistance sits at $153.53.
Market Sentiment: EAT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $189.14 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EAT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $129.58, while resistance sits at $153.53.
Market Sentiment: EAT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $189.14 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$137.58 -
$150.53
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.4% below Wall St target ($189.14)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.0%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$137.58 -
$150.53
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$129.58
Resistance Level
$153.53
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.10
Wall Street Target
$189.14
(+38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$131.36
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$126.24
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$121.31
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$136.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.1%)
$419.53
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 15.1%)
$208.28
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 15.1%)
$177.04
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.91
Bull Case
$196.08
(+33%)
Analyst growth 24.3%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$178.26
(+21%)
Market implied 24.3%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$97.51
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$153.99
(+12.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is EAT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James C Katzman
SELL
447 shares
2026-02-11
Michaela M Ware
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-05
Aaron M White
SELL
7000 shares
2026-02-04
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