EDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EDN - Empresa Distribuidora Y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (Edenor)
$24.28
-0.19 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
-0.86%
30d:
-11.61%
90d:
-21.6%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -36.1% annual earnings decline despite 148% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -36.1% annual earnings decline despite 148% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.85
71.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EDN is currently trading at $24.28, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.95 to $27.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (32.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 36.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 147.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+52.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EDN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+52.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$24.95 -
$27.65
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 52.4% below Wall St target ($37.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.95 -
$27.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.48
Resistance Level
$29.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.55
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+52.4%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
147.5%
Profit Margin
10.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-36.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 32.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-36.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.85
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$19.67
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$17.70
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→33)
$67.70
(+179%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 1036.0%)
$208.76
(+760%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 1036.0%)
$81.94
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 1036.0%)
$69.65
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.79
Bull Case
$15.96
(-34%)
Analyst growth -40.7%, PE expands to 5.6
Base Case
$14.51
(-40%)
Market implied -40.7%, PE stable at 5.1
Bear Case
$16.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 32.7
Stabilization Target:
$92.87
(+282.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+282.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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