ELS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ELS - Equity Lifestyle Properties, Inc.
$63.20
0.03 (0.05%)
▲
5d:
+0.52%
30d:
+4.27%
90d:
+4.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ELS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ELS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.79
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.58
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ELS is currently trading at $63.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.41 to $63.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.0) is in line with its historical norms (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ELS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ELS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $61.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ELS has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$60.41 -
$63.09
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.97)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.41 -
$63.09
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.61
Resistance Level
$64.35
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.03
Wall Street Target
$68.97
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.2%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.0 vs 30.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$61.69
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$60.95
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→30)
$63.21
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$78.36
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$60.20
(-5%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$51.17
(-19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.01
Bull Case
$75.27
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.3%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$68.43
(+8%)
Market implied 8.3%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$42.96
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.0 to 30.1
Stabilization Target:
$65.54
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ELS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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