EMBJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$73.27
-0.56 (-0.76%) ▼
5d: -8.29%
30d: +11.98%
90d: +13.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EMBJ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.12
15.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EMBJ is currently trading at $73.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.74 to $75.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.4) is in line with its historical norms (26.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EMBJ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $65.74 - $75.82
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($74.46)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.3%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $65.74 - $75.82
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $72.33
Resistance Level $80.75
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 25.42
Wall Street Target $74.46 (+1.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -37.1%
Profit Margin 4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 25.4 vs 26.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $72.46 (-1%)
2-Year Target $71.67 (-2%)
3-Year Target $70.88 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→26) $73.32 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 25.4, Growth: 46.7%) $231.42 (+216%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 46.7%) $202.98 (+177%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 46.7%) $172.54 (+136%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case $135.82 (+85%)
Analyst growth 67.6%, PE expands to 47.1
Base Case $123.47 (+69%)
Market implied 67.6%, PE stable at 42.8
Bear Case $50.11 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.4 to 26.3
Stabilization Target: $75.79 (+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.4%
Last updated: February 04, 2026 1:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:36 AM
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