ENSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ENSG - The Ensign Group, Inc.
$156.93
6.22 (4.13%)
▲
5d:
+1.08%
30d:
-11.67%
90d:
-25.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ENSG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$276.73
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$171.83
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ENSG is currently trading at $156.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $160.17 to $178.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $151.21, while resistance sits at $173.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ENSG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.40 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ENSG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $151.21, while resistance sits at $173.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ENSG has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.40 (+40.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$160.17 -
$178.40
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.4% below Wall St target ($220.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$160.17 -
$178.40
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$151.21
Resistance Level
$173.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.84
Wall Street Target
$220.40
(+40.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Profit Margin
6.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 23.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$145.63
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$135.15
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$125.42
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→24)
$157.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$242.90
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$210.10
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 10.2%)
$178.58
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.19
Bull Case
$223.10
(+42%)
Analyst growth 34.6%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case
$202.82
(+29%)
Market implied 34.6%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$102.48
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$196.59
(+25.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ENSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John O Agwunobi
SELL
392 shares
2026-04-20
Mark Vincent Parkinson
SELL
100 shares
2026-04-16
Barry M Smith
SELL
700 shares
2026-04-02
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