EPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EPR - EPR Properties
$57.35
-0.54 (-0.93%)
▼
5d:
-1.6%
30d:
+2.61%
90d:
-1.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.99
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EPR is currently trading at $57.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.48 to $57.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EPR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EPR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$54.48 -
$57.69
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($59.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.48 -
$57.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.78
Resistance Level
$59.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.47
Wall Street Target
$59.33
(+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.1%
Profit Margin
37.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 17.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.98
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$58.62
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$59.26
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 3.0%)
$74.78
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 3.0%)
$62.60
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 3.0%)
$53.21
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.24
Bull Case
$61.01
(+6%)
Analyst growth -4.2%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$55.47
(-3%)
Market implied -4.2%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$39.37
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EPR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tonya L Mater
SELL
2600 shares
2026-04-15
Tonya L Mater
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-14
Brian Andrew Moriarty
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-16
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