EQR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EQR - Equity Residential
$62.32
0.46 (0.74%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EQR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EQR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.75
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.65
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EQR is currently trading at $62.32, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.94 to $62.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 42.7) is in line with its historical norms (42.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 100.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.78 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EQR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EQR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.78 (+12.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$60.94 -
$62.78
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($69.78)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.94 -
$62.78
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$60.31
Resistance Level
$62.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.72
Wall Street Target
$69.78
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.9%
Profit Margin
37.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
42.7 vs 42.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.80
(0%)
2-Year Target
$61.74
(0%)
3-Year Target
$61.67
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→43)
$61.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.7, Growth: 7.4%)
$76.71
(+24%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$40.04
(-35%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 7.4%)
$34.03
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 19.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.04
Bull Case
$33.42
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 22.0
Base Case
$30.38
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$41.32
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 42.7 to 42.8
Stabilization Target:
$61.97
(+0.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.2%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EQR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-05
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-26
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-08-04
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