CPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$117.25
1.59 (1.37%)
▲
5d:
+3.22%
30d:
+10.51%
90d:
+19.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CPT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CPT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$77.72
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $117.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.36 to $115.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 73.4) is in line with its historical norms (73.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $116.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $116.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$108.36 -
$115.21
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($114.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.36 -
$115.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.54
Resistance Level
$116.59
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
73.44
Wall Street Target
$114.40
(-2.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
73.4 vs 73.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$117.48
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$117.72
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$117.95
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 73→73)
PE COMPRESSION
$117.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 73.4, Growth: 26.4%)
$237.04
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.4%)
$70.30
(-40%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 26.4%)
$59.75
(-49%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 32.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.59
Bull Case
$63.61
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case
$57.83
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case
$78.65
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Laurie Baker
SELL
2168 shares
2026-02-18
Michael P Gallagher
SELL
169 shares
2026-02-18
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