CPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CPT - Camden Property Trust
$103.99
-1.36 (-1.29%)
▼
5d:
-0.08%
30d:
+2.57%
90d:
-3.25%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CPT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.92
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CPT is currently trading at $103.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.42 to $104.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 83.1) compared to its historical average (70.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$101.42 -
$104.86
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($113.99)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.42 -
$104.86
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.80
Resistance Level
$106.31
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
83.11
Wall Street Target
$113.99
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.1%
Profit Margin
24.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
83.1 vs 70.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.71
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$115.74
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$122.11
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 83→71)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 83.1, Growth: 73.8%)
$350.97
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 73.8%)
$93.08
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 73.8%)
$79.12
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.58
Bull Case
$57.94
(-44%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$52.68
(-49%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$71.64
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
Laurie Baker
SELL
2168 shares
2026-02-18
Michael P Gallagher
SELL
169 shares
2026-02-18
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