ERIE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ERIE - Erie Indemnity Co
$249.52
1.53 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
+3.74%
30d:
-6.46%
90d:
-13.19%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
22d
Smart Money Accumulation
ERIE is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $300 2026-06-18 with 66 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ERIE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ERIE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ERIE is currently trading at $249.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $241.36 to $265.66.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $250.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ERIE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ERIE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $250.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ERIE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $115.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$241.36 -
$265.66
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 53.6% above Wall St target ($115.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$241.36 -
$265.66
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.48
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$233.82
Resistance Level
$250.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.74
Wall Street Target
$115.00
(-53.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.4%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ERIE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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Advanced ERIE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ERIE price and gamma walls.
