ESLT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ESLT - Elbit Systems Ltd
$849.09
32.32 (3.96%)
▲
5d:
-5.11%
30d:
+2.38%
90d:
+46.92%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ESLT is down 12.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $600 2026-06-18 with 124 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 9.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ESLT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ESLT is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$679.04
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$421.63
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ESLT is currently trading at $849.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $792.35 to $931.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 50.5) is in line with its historical norms (49.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESLT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $810.00, while resistance sits at $982.82. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $754.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ESLT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $810.00, while resistance sits at $982.82. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $754.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$792.35 -
$931.64
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ESLT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 11.1% above Wall St target ($754.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$792.35 -
$931.64
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$60.25
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$810.00
Resistance Level
$982.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
50.49
Wall Street Target
$754.67
(-11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
76.3%
Profit Margin
6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
50.5 vs 49.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$855.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$861.02
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$867.05
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 50→50)
PE COMPRESSION
$850.00
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 50.5, Growth: 16.3%)
$1334.91
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 16.3%)
$590.89
(-30%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 16.3%)
$502.25
(-41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.66 | Forward EPS (Implied): $93.46
Bull Case
$1090.32
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$902.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$690.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ESLT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ESLT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ESLT price and gamma walls.
