ETD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ETD - Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
$22.26
0.17 (0.77%)
▲
5d:
-0.58%
30d:
-1.37%
90d:
-3.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ETD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ETD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.75
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ETD is currently trading at $22.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.03 to $22.84. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ETD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.00 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$22.03 -
$22.84
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
19th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($27.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -4.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.03 -
$22.84
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.11
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.88
Resistance Level
$22.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.72
Wall Street Target
$27.00
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.8%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.28
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$22.30
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$22.33
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.2%)
$55.21
(+148%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 12.2%)
$31.42
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 12.2%)
$26.71
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.72
Bull Case
$24.51
(+9%)
Analyst growth 1.7%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$22.28
(-1%)
Market implied 1.7%, PE stable at 12.7
Bear Case
$14.89
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ETD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
M Farooq Kathwari
SELL
2168 shares
2026-01-22
M Farooq Kathwari
SELL
102 shares
2026-01-22
M Farooq Kathwari
SELL
15000 shares
2025-10-15
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