EVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVR - Evercore Inc.
$353.27
-2.64 (-0.74%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
🚀 STRONG BUY: EVR shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 2th percentile) and market pricing in only 0.5% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
🚀 STRONG BUY: EVR shows excellent value with unusually cheap options (IV 2th percentile) and market pricing in only 0.5% annual growth despite strong fundamentals. High conviction opportunity.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$681.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$423.08
16.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVR is currently trading at $353.27, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $351.48 to $373.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $350.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $350.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (2th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$351.48 -
$373.06
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
2th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 2th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($386.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$351.48 -
$373.06
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$19.27
(5.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$350.07
Resistance Level
$388.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.83
Wall Street Target
$386.40
(+8.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
41.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
83.3%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
19.8 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$357.69
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$359.48
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$361.28
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$355.17
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 33.6%)
$954.94
(+168%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: 33.6%)
$849.38
(+139%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 33.6%)
$721.97
(+103%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.58
Bull Case
$569.83
(+61%)
Analyst growth 42.6%, PE expands to 31.8
Base Case
$518.02
(+47%)
Market implied 42.6%, PE stable at 28.9
Bear Case
$246.96
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Timothy Gilbert Lalonde
SELL
8407 shares
2025-08-05
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Advanced EVR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EVR price and gamma walls.
