EVR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVR - Evercore Inc.
$284.78
5.73 (2.05%)
▲
5d:
+2.03%
30d:
-7.79%
90d:
-19.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
EVR is up 3.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $310 2026-06-18 with 70 OI. Put ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EVR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.3% annual earnings decline despite 45% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: EVR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.3% annual earnings decline despite 45% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$754.90
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$468.73
39.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVR is currently trading at $284.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $274.72 to $312.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 44.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $291.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $381.70 (+36.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $291.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $381.70 (+36.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$274.72 -
$312.50
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.8% below Wall St target ($381.70)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$274.72 -
$312.50
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$16.80
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$269.57
Resistance Level
$291.54
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.09
Wall Street Target
$381.70
(+36.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
44.8%
Profit Margin
15.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 16.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$251.15
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$226.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$203.43
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→17)
$282.60
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.7%)
$1025.59
(+268%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 25.7%)
$553.70
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 25.7%)
$470.65
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.05
Bull Case
$496.57
(+78%)
Analyst growth 64.2%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$451.42
(+62%)
Market implied 64.2%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$186.91
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$387.65
(+38.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sarah K Williamson
BUY
2000 shares
2026-03-06
Jason Klurfeld
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-06
Paul Pensa
SELL
1450 shares
2026-02-05
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Advanced EVR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EVR price and gamma walls.
