EXOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXOD - Exodus Movement, Inc.
$5.05
-0.15 (-2.88%)
▼
5d:
-5.08%
30d:
-28.97%
90d:
-24.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EXOD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.06
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.46
59.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXOD is currently trading at $5.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.56 to $6.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.6) compared to its historical average (10.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 29.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1923.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+246.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXOD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: EXOD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.50 (+246.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.56 -
$6.81
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 246.5% below Wall St target ($17.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.56 -
$6.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.74
Resistance Level
$7.32
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.63
Wall Street Target
$17.50
(+246.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1923.7%
Profit Margin
-28.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-29.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.6 vs 10.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-29.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.54
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.09
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.68
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→10)
$10.44
(+107%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.6 to 10.3
Stabilization Target:
$14.32
(+183.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+183.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EXOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Margaret Knight
SELL
135 shares
2026-04-01
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