EYE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EYE - National Vision Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

OPHTHALMIC GOODS
$26.35
-0.19 (-0.72%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 24d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: EYE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.01
5.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EYE is currently trading at $26.35, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.07 to $28.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EYE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $25.47, while resistance sits at $29.43.

Market Sentiment: EYE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.18 (+25.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $26.07 - $28.10
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.0% below Wall St target ($33.18)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $26.07 - $28.10
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.47
Resistance Level $29.44
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.64
Wall Street Target $33.18 (+25.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 20.7%
Profit Margin -0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 28.6 vs 29.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.27 (-1%)
2-Year Target $26.01 (-2%)
3-Year Target $25.75 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29β†’30) $26.53 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.6, Growth: 32.3%) $61.47 (+132%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.3%) $47.87 (+80%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 32.3%) $40.69 (+53%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.6 to 29.5
Stabilization Target: $27.34 (+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
L Reade Fahs SELL 137400 shares 2025-08-28

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Advanced EYE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EYE price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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