F Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
F - Ford Motor Company
$14.93
1.26 (9.22%)
▲
5d:
+11.42%
30d:
+19.63%
90d:
+9.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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14 traders called F this week
90% bullish • 2 bearish
90% bullish • 2 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: F is 11.2% above its trading range ($13.43). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: F is 11.2% above its trading range ($13.43). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.83
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $14.93, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.93 to $13.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: F has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: F has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.93 -
$13.43
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding F? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($13.70)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.93 -
$13.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.80
Resistance Level
$14.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.17
Wall Street Target
$13.70
(-8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
430.8%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.20
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.47
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$15.75
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.85
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$57.12
(+283%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 12.4%)
$21.21
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 12.4%)
$18.03
(+21%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 5:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is F showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
William Clay Ford Jr
BUY
140000 shares
2026-02-19
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