FA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FA - First Advantage Corporation Common Stock
$11.44
0.29 (2.60%)
▲
5d:
+1.51%
30d:
-0.61%
90d:
-26.34%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.42
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.16
24.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FA is currently trading at $11.44, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.18 to $11.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+31.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$10.18 -
$11.87
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.1% below Wall St target ($15.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.18 -
$11.87
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.98
(8.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.35
Resistance Level
$11.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.14
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+31.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.4%
Profit Margin
-2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.51
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$9.66
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$8.88
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→11)
$11.45
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.4%)
$50.84
(+344%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 17.4%)
$18.52
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 17.4%)
$15.74
(+38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$14.76
(+29.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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