FA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FA - First Advantage Corporation Common Stock
$11.18
-0.58 (-4.93%)
▼
5d:
-0.45%
30d:
-5.49%
90d:
-25.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.19
Based on 10.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.02
25.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FA is currently trading at $11.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.29 to $11.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.44, while resistance sits at $11.97. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.44, while resistance sits at $11.97. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.00 (+34.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$10.29 -
$11.91
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.2% below Wall St target ($15.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.29 -
$11.91
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.44
Resistance Level
$11.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.95
Wall Street Target
$15.00
(+34.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.4%
Profit Margin
-2.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 10.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.21
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$9.32
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$8.51
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$11.12
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.4%)
$50.84
(+355%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 17.4%)
$18.09
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 17.4%)
$15.38
(+38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 10.4
Stabilization Target:
$14.62
(+30.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FA price and gamma walls.
