FA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FA - First Advantage Corporation Common Stock
$13.50
0.45 (3.45%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FA trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.38
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.14
10.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FA is currently trading at $13.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.90 to $15.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.0) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.65, while resistance sits at $15.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.57 (+34.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $12.65, while resistance sits at $15.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.57 (+34.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.90 -
$15.44
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
87.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.6% below Wall St target ($17.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.90 -
$15.44
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.75
(5.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.65
Resistance Level
$15.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.01
Wall Street Target
$17.57
(+34.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
105.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.4%
Profit Margin
-9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.57
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$12.10
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$11.65
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$13.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.9%)
$43.30
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 17.9%)
$21.39
(+64%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: 17.9%)
$18.18
(+39%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$14.57
(+11.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joelle M Smith
SELL
9900 shares
2025-09-17
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Advanced FA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FA price and gamma walls.
