FCX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FCX - Freeport-McMoran Inc.
$60.23
-4.90 (-7.52%)
ā¼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
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12 traders called FCX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: FCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
š HOLD: FCX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.35
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.77
31.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FCX is currently trading at $60.23, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.75 to $61.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (21.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.70, while resistance sits at $69.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FCX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $57.70, while resistance sits at $69.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$52.75 -
$61.31
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FCX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($61.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$52.75 -
$61.31
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.70
Resistance Level
$69.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.57
Wall Street Target
$61.12
(-6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.7%
Profit Margin
8.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 21.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.72
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$60.40
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$58.16
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20ā22)
$65.10
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.8%)
$144.24
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 24.8%)
$126.57
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.6, Growth: 24.8%)
$107.58
(+65%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$138.31
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 44.3
Base Case
$125.74
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$42.75
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
š”
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.6 to 21.9
Stabilization Target:
$72.89
(+11.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.9%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FCX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-25
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-08-13
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