SCCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCCO - Southern Copper Corporation
$172.43
-4.35 (-2.46%)
▼
5d:
-6.91%
30d:
-11.27%
90d:
-8.28%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
SCCO is down 4.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $200 2026-06-18 with 3,859 OI. Call ratio: 76% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.9/10
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1 traders called SCCO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SCCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.45
Based on -1.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCCO is currently trading at $172.43, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.11 to $191.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.5) compared to its historical average (29.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 66.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $169.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $157.94. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCCO is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $169.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCCO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $157.94. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$174.11 -
$191.56
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SCCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.7% above Wall St target ($157.94)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$174.11 -
$191.56
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$169.58
Resistance Level
$194.93
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.47
Wall Street Target
$157.94
(-10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
66.7%
Profit Margin
34.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.5 vs 29.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$169.71
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$162.92
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$156.40
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→30)
$176.66
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.5, Growth: -6.2%)
$145.91
(+-18%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: -6.2%)
$121.65
(-31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: -6.2%)
$103.40
(-42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.90
Bull Case
$234.70
(+33%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 35.1
Base Case
$213.36
(+21%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 32.0
Bear Case
$128.18
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.5 to 29.9
Stabilization Target:
$199.68
(+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 1:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
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