FDMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FDMT - 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$9.15
-0.66 (-6.73%) ▼
5d: -9.76%
30d: -9.05%
90d: -2.14%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

FDMT is down 9.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12 2026-07-17 with 84 OI. Call ratio: 80% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FDMT shows balanced signals. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly. Monitor for clearer direction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FDMT is currently trading at $9.15, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.30 to $10.26.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FDMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.22 (+208.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $9.30 - $10.26
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 82.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 208.4% below Wall St target ($28.22)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.30 - $10.26
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.66 (7.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.06
Resistance Level $11.21
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -2.46
Wall Street Target $28.22 (+208.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21664.3%
Profit Margin -182.3%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ashoo Gupta SELL 390 shares 2026-03-20
Ashoo Gupta SELL 389 shares 2025-12-20
Scott Bizily SELL 1635 shares 2025-12-16

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