FDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FDP - Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
$29.22
0.84 (2.96%)
▲
5d:
+6.49%
30d:
-10.86%
90d:
-29.49%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FDP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FDP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -8.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.45
37.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FDP is currently trading at $29.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.76 to $31.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.13, while resistance sits at $33.89.
Market Sentiment: FDP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+78.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FDP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.13, while resistance sits at $33.89.
Market Sentiment: FDP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.00 (+78.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.76 -
$31.23
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 78.0% below Wall St target ($52.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.76 -
$31.23
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.06
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.13
Resistance Level
$33.89
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.67
Wall Street Target
$52.00
(+78.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.2%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 11.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.68
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$24.36
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$22.24
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$29.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 56.7%)
$247.72
(+748%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 56.7%)
$98.62
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 56.7%)
$83.82
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$38.42
(+31.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Marissa R Tenazas
SELL
1046 shares
2026-04-02
Effie D Silva
SELL
5894 shares
2026-03-09
Gianpaolo Renino
SELL
6297 shares
2026-03-06
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Advanced FDP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FDP price and gamma walls.
