FHB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHB - First Hawaiian, Inc. Common Stock
$29.97
-0.24 (-0.79%)
▼
5d:
+2.29%
30d:
+10.96%
90d:
+19.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FHB is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.57
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHB is currently trading at $29.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.12 to $29.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.12 -
$29.13
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($28.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.12 -
$29.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.38
Resistance Level
$28.49
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.13
Wall Street Target
$28.44
(-5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.81
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$31.67
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$32.56
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.3%)
$64.58
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 6.3%)
$35.96
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 6.3%)
$30.56
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$36.02
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 14.6
Base Case
$32.74
(+9%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$20.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 9:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig Scott Wo
SELL
500 shares
2026-02-10
Craig Scott Wo
SELL
1500 shares
2026-02-06
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