FHB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHB - First Hawaiian, Inc. Common Stock
$26.41
-0.24 (-0.90%)
▼
5d:
-3.4%
30d:
+0.69%
90d:
+0.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.64
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.51
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHB is currently trading at $26.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.24 to $27.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHB is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $26.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$26.24 -
$27.28
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.24 -
$27.28
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.09
Resistance Level
$27.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.75
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.2%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.12
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$25.83
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$25.55
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$26.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.8%)
$64.29
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 5.8%)
$31.31
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 5.8%)
$26.61
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$31.07
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.8%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$28.25
(+7%)
Market implied 7.8%, PE stable at 11.5
Bear Case
$17.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.1
Stabilization Target:
$27.28
(+3.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 9:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Craig Scott Wo
SELL
500 shares
2026-02-10
Craig Scott Wo
SELL
1500 shares
2026-02-06
Alan Arizumi
SELL
36460 shares
2025-12-04
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