FHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHI - Federated Hermes, Inc.
$57.81
-0.24 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
+0.82%
30d:
+1.07%
90d:
+11.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FHI is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.49
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.60
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHI is currently trading at $57.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.80 to $57.21. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $58.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FHI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$55.80 -
$57.21
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$55.80 -
$57.21
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.08
Resistance Level
$58.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.03
Wall Street Target
$56.14
(-2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.6%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.93
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$58.04
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$58.16
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$57.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 10.4%)
$159.36
(+176%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 10.4%)
$77.72
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 10.4%)
$66.06
(+14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.13
Bull Case
$68.15
(+21%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$61.96
(+10%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$37.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 04, 2026 6:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dolores D Dudiak
SELL
999 shares
2025-11-19
Richard A Novak
SELL
1249 shares
2025-11-19
Saker Anwar Nusseibeh
SELL
4461 shares
2025-11-19
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