FHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FHI - Federated Hermes, Inc.
$56.18
0.18 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
-0.2%
30d:
+0.3%
90d:
+3.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.11
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.36
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FHI is currently trading at $56.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.52 to $56.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$55.52 -
$56.97
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.57)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$55.52 -
$56.97
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.82
(3.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.69
Resistance Level
$57.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.84
Wall Street Target
$55.57
(-1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.6%
Profit Margin
22.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.8 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.90
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$55.62
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$55.34
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
$56.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.6%)
$172.55
(+207%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$75.97
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 10.6%)
$64.58
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.13
Bull Case
$68.15
(+21%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$61.96
(+10%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$37.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$57.09
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FHI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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999 shares
2025-11-19
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1249 shares
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4461 shares
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