FHI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FHI - Federated Hermes, Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$53.28
0.25 (0.47%) β–²
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ’‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: FHI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.3% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.63
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.82
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FHI is currently trading at $53.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.42 to $53.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FHI is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $51.50, while resistance sits at $55.13.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $52.42 - $53.99
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 10th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.8%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($53.86)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $52.42 - $53.99
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$1.72 (3.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $51.50
Resistance Level $55.13
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.53
Wall Street Target $53.86 (+1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 26.4%
Profit Margin 21.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.5 vs 10.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $52.05 (-2%)
2-Year Target $50.86 (-5%)
3-Year Target $49.69 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10β†’10) $53.19 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.3%) $162.93 (+206%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 9.3%) $69.62 (+31%)
Bear: (PE: 8.1, Growth: 9.3%) $59.17 (+11%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.78
Bull Case $62.35 (+17%)
Analyst growth 7.1%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case $56.68 (+6%)
Market implied 7.1%, PE stable at 11.1
Bear Case $35.98 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.2
Stabilization Target: $57.03 (+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.0%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:03 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FHI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FHI price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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