FIZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.
$33.84
0.19 (0.56%)
ā²
5d:
+1.41%
30d:
-9.59%
90d:
+5.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š HOLD: FIZZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
š HOLD: FIZZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.88
17.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $33.84, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.74 to $36.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$33.74 -
$36.63
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.74 -
$36.63
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.01
Resistance Level
$35.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.82
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.87
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$33.91
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$33.94
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17ā17)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 46.9%)
$45.61
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 46.9%)
$34.32
(+1%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 46.9%)
$29.17
(-14%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case
$37.73
(+11%)
Analyst growth 0.6%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$34.30
(+1%)
Market implied 0.6%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$23.18
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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