FLOC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FLOC - Flowco Holdings Inc.

OIL & GAS FIELD MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
$27.31
0.42 (1.56%) ▲
5d: +9.94%
30d: +17.56%
90d: +25.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FLOC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.74
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.06
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLOC is currently trading at $27.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.38 to $25.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLOC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FLOC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $22.38 - $25.82
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 8.9% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $22.38 - $25.82
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.16
Resistance Level $27.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.36
Wall Street Target $31.50 (+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.1%
Profit Margin 5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium
PE vs Historical 15.4 vs 14.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.05 (+3%)
2-Year Target $28.80 (+6%)
3-Year Target $29.58 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $27.35 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.0%) $58.11 (+113%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 14.0%) $40.44 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 13.1, Growth: 14.0%) $34.38 (+26%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.23
Bull Case $42.76 (+57%)
Analyst growth 44.6%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case $38.87 (+42%)
Market implied 44.6%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case $18.29 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan B Fairbanks SELL 1170000 shares 2026-03-26
Jonathan B Fairbanks SELL 7800000 shares 2026-03-23
Chad Roberts SELL 54706 shares 2026-02-03

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