FLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FLY - Firefly Aerospace Inc. Common Stock

GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS
$29.76
1.29 (4.53%) ▲
5d: +8.1%
30d: +42.67%
90d: +30.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

FLY is down 6.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 4,952 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FLY is 16.7% above fair value ($25.50). While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FLY is currently trading at $29.76, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.08 to $25.50.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.53, while resistance sits at $31.37. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: FLY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.14 (+24.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $20.08 - $25.50
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.7% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($37.14)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.7% overvaluation

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $20.08 - $25.50
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $21.53
Resistance Level $31.37
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) -26.95
Wall Street Target $37.14 (+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 538.4%
Profit Margin -208.9%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FLY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FLY price and gamma walls.

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