FOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FOR - Forestar Group Inc.

REAL ESTATE
$29.19
-0.01 (-0.03%) ▼
5d: +3.51%
30d: +10.36%
90d: +13.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FOR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.31
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.30
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $29.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.15 to $28.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FOR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $26.15 - $28.42
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.33)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $26.15 - $28.42
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $26.51
Resistance Level $29.30
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.14
Wall Street Target $31.33 (+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 22.3%
Profit Margin 9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 8.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $30.46 (+4%)
2-Year Target $31.77 (+9%)
3-Year Target $33.13 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→8) PE COMPRESSION $29.37 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.6%) $87.19 (+199%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 7.6%) $36.34 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 7.8, Growth: 7.6%) $30.89 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case $30.86 (+6%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case $28.05 (-4%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case $19.58 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 15, 2026 11:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:58 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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