FOR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOR - Forestar Group Inc.
$29.18
-0.02 (-0.07%)
▼
5d:
+3.48%
30d:
+10.32%
90d:
+13.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FOR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: FOR is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.31
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOR is currently trading at $29.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.15 to $28.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $29.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FOR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.15 -
$28.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.15 -
$28.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.51
Resistance Level
$29.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.14
Wall Street Target
$31.33
(+7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
22.3%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
9.1 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.46
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$31.77
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$33.13
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.37
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.6%)
$87.19
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 7.6%)
$36.34
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 7.6%)
$30.89
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.28
Bull Case
$30.86
(+6%)
Analyst growth -2.6%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$28.05
(-4%)
Market implied -2.6%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$19.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 1:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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