FPH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FPH - Five Point Holdings, LLC Class A Common Shares

REAL ESTATE
$4.79
0.08 (1.70%) ▲
5d: -1.84%
30d: -8.76%
90d: -11.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

FPH is up 4.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $5 2026-07-17 with 20 OI. Put ratio: 98% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FPH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FPH is currently trading at $4.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.84 to $5.10.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FPH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: FPH has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+154.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $4.84 - $5.10
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 66.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 154.8% below Wall St target ($12.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.84 - $5.10
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.36 (7.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.69
Resistance Level $5.06
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 18, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.30
Wall Street Target $12.00 (+154.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.3%
Profit Margin 41.2%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Greg Mcwilliams SELL 111037 shares 2026-03-09
Kim Tobler SELL 18714 shares 2025-12-04

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