FRST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRST - Primis Financial Corp. Common Stock
$15.82
-0.55 (-3.36%)
▼
5d:
+0.44%
30d:
+6.25%
90d:
+18.24%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FRST shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.58
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRST is currently trading at $15.82, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.68 to $15.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.3) compared to its historical average (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: FRST has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.88 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: FRST has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.88 (+13.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.68 -
$15.99
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.5% growth with -22.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.68 -
$15.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.24
Resistance Level
$15.48
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.27
Wall Street Target
$17.88
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.6%
Profit Margin
23.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.5% premium
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.53
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$17.28
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$18.05
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.71
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 20.9%)
$73.52
(+365%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 20.9%)
$27.92
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 20.9%)
$23.74
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$18.42
(+16%)
Analyst growth 2.3%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$16.74
(+6%)
Market implied 2.3%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$11.13
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Fitzgerald Biagas
BUY
1925 shares
2026-03-12
John Fitzgerald Biagas
BUY
1550 shares
2026-03-11
Deborah Diaz
BUY
1050 shares
2026-03-06
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