FRST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FRST - Primis Financial Corp. Common Stock
$13.82
-0.30 (-2.12%)
▼
5d:
-4.43%
30d:
-0.43%
90d:
-0.86%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FRST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FRST shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.57
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.64
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FRST is currently trading at $13.82, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.81 to $14.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.08 (+23.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FRST is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.74. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.08 (+23.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.81 -
$14.54
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($17.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -22.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.81 -
$14.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.74
Resistance Level
$14.82
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.21
Wall Street Target
$17.08
(+23.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.6%
Profit Margin
23.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.92
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$14.01
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$14.11
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.90
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 19.5%)
$72.27
(+423%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 19.5%)
$23.61
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 19.5%)
$20.07
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.87
Bull Case
$15.92
(+15%)
Analyst growth 2.5%, PE expands to 8.3
Base Case
$14.47
(+5%)
Market implied 2.5%, PE stable at 7.6
Bear Case
$9.60
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FRST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Fitzgerald Biagas
BUY
1925 shares
2026-03-12
John Fitzgerald Biagas
BUY
1550 shares
2026-03-11
Deborah Diaz
BUY
1050 shares
2026-03-06
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