FSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSK - FS KKR Capital Corp. Common Stock
$13.79
-0.03 (-0.22%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FSK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.32
Based on -3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.65
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSK is currently trading at $13.79, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.19 to $14.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 33.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.32 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.32 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$14.19 -
$14.75
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($17.32)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.19 -
$14.75
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.63
Resistance Level
$14.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.58
Wall Street Target
$17.33
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
33.8%
Profit Margin
17.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.42
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$13.06
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$12.70
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$13.89
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -11.6%)
$34.05
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: -11.6%)
$10.05
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: -11.6%)
$8.54
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case
$30.56
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$27.78
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$9.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 7.2
Stabilization Target:
$15.08
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jerel A Hopkins
BUY
330 shares
2025-09-03
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