FSLY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FSLY - Fastly, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$9.25
-0.37 (-3.85%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 9d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FSLY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% decline. Moderate conviction.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FSLY is currently trading at $9.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.22 to $10.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 70.1) is in line with its historical norms (74.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FSLY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.74, while resistance sits at $10.71. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.93 (+18.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $9.22 - $10.32
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.93)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $9.22 - $10.32
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.74
Resistance Level $10.72
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 70.13
Wall Street Target $10.93 (+18.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.3%
Profit Margin -23.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 70.1 vs 74.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.07 (-2%)
2-Year Target $8.90 (-4%)
3-Year Target $8.73 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 70→74) $9.24 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 70.1, Growth: 139.4%) $31.22 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 139.4%) $9.93 (+7%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 139.4%) $8.44 (-9%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 70.1 to 74.2
Stabilization Target: $9.79 (+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:13 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Artur Bergman SELL 20000 shares 2025-10-20
Charles Lacey Compton III SELL 11378 shares 2025-10-16
Artur Bergman SELL 20000 shares 2025-10-13

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Advanced FSLY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSLY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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