FSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FSM - Fortuna Mining Corp.
$9.78
-1.71 (-14.88%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 04, 2026
Get Alerted When FSM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called FSM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FSM is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FSM is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.63
28.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FSM is currently trading at $9.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.85 to $11.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FSM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: FSM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+21.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.85 -
$11.14
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FSM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($14.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.85 -
$11.14
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.66
Resistance Level
$12.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.85
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
135.2%
Profit Margin
18.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$11.65
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$11.73
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 90.4%)
$110.17
(+859%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 90.4%)
$38.78
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 90.4%)
$32.96
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84
Bull Case
$22.75
(+133%)
Analyst growth 74.3%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$20.68
(+112%)
Market implied 74.3%, PE stable at 14.1
Bear Case
$8.07
(-18%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:56 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is FSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$210 | 60 HOLD |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$138 | 63 BUY |
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$45 | 56 HOLD |
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$120 | 56 HOLD |
|
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$32 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced FSM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FSM price and gamma walls.