FTK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FTK - Flotek Industries, Inc.

MISCELLANEOUS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS
$19.61
-0.89 (-4.34%) ▼
5d: +22.79%
30d: +20.38%
90d: +13.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: FTK is 10.1% above its trading range ($17.81). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.09
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FTK is currently trading at $19.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.41 to $17.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.5) compared to its historical average (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FTK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.02, while resistance sits at $20.63. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: FTK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.60 (+15.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $15.41 - $17.81
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.1% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.60)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.5% growth with 26.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $15.41 - $17.81
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.02
Resistance Level $20.63
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.51
Wall Street Target $22.60 (+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -29.4%
Profit Margin 11.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.5% premium
PE vs Historical 24.5 vs 18.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.47 (+10%)
2-Year Target $23.51 (+20%)
3-Year Target $25.75 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 25→19) PE COMPRESSION $19.64 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.5, Growth: 48.1%) $63.76 (+225%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 48.1%) $57.41 (+193%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 48.1%) $48.64 (+148%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.79
Bull Case $22.84 (+16%)
Analyst growth 1.3%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case $20.76 (+6%)
Market implied 1.3%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case $13.94 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 6:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Bond Clement SELL 6299 shares 2026-02-24

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