FTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTV - Fortive Corporation
$53.62
-0.30 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
-3.2%
30d:
-9.43%
90d:
-3.72%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FTV is down 5.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $60 2026-04-17 with 281 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FTV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.15
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTV is currently trading at $53.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.63 to $58.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FTV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.13 (+17.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $53.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: FTV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.13 (+17.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$54.63 -
$58.13
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding FTV? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($63.13)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$54.63 -
$58.13
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.57
Resistance Level
$56.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.83
Wall Street Target
$63.13
(+17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.8 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.85
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$50.14
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$48.48
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$53.58
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.4%)
$88.24
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$66.45
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 7.4%)
$56.49
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.59
Bull Case
$121.48
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$110.44
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case
$37.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$59.25
(+10.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kate Mitchell
SELL
7131 shares
2026-02-18
Stacey A Walker
SELL
2192 shares
2025-10-31
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Advanced FTV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTV price and gamma walls.
