FWONA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FWONA - Liberty Media Corporation Series A Liberty Formula One Common Stock
$77.04
1.92 (2.56%)
▲
5d:
+2.01%
30d:
-8.69%
90d:
-12.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FWONA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FWONA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$161.61
Based on 11.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.34
23.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FWONA is currently trading at $77.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.84 to $81.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (21.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.70, while resistance sits at $81.04.
Market Sentiment: FWONA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.50 (+43.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $73.70, while resistance sits at $81.04.
Market Sentiment: FWONA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $107.50 (+43.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$75.84 -
$81.03
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.1% below Wall St target ($107.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$75.84 -
$81.03
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.73
(3.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.70
Resistance Level
$81.04
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.85
Wall Street Target
$107.50
(+43.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.7%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 21.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.55
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$64.41
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$59.64
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$75.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.9%)
$167.95
(+124%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 18.9%)
$126.32
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 18.9%)
$107.37
(+43%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.31
Bull Case
$158.18
(+110%)
Analyst growth 93.0%, PE expands to 35.5
Base Case
$143.80
(+90%)
Market implied 93.0%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$50.67
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 21.2
Stabilization Target:
$94.51
(+25.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FWONA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chase Carey
SELL
83536 shares
2025-12-17
Chase Carey
SELL
83500 shares
2025-12-16
Chase Carey
SELL
81006 shares
2025-11-12
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