FWONK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FWONK - Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One Common Stock
$82.77
1.14 (1.40%)
▲
5d:
+0.04%
30d:
-9.63%
90d:
-14.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FWONK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FWONK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.94
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FWONK is currently trading at $82.77, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.20 to $88.87. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 38.6) compared to its historical average (46.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $80.15, while resistance sits at $89.19.
Market Sentiment: FWONK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.00 (+42.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FWONK is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $80.15, while resistance sits at $89.19.
Market Sentiment: FWONK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.00 (+42.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$83.20 -
$88.87
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($116.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$83.20 -
$88.87
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.15
Resistance Level
$89.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.59
Wall Street Target
$116.00
(+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.7%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
38.6 vs 46.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.49
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$71.67
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$67.15
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→47)
$81.44
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.6, Growth: 25.1%)
$159.93
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.1%)
$92.83
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 25.1%)
$78.90
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 35.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.31
Bull Case
$82.01
(-1%)
Analyst growth -8.4%, PE expands to 38.8
Base Case
$74.55
(-10%)
Market implied -8.4%, PE stable at 35.3
Bear Case
$55.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.6 to 46.8
Stabilization Target:
$98.99
(+21.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FWONK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chase Carey
SELL
83536 shares
2025-12-17
Chase Carey
SELL
83500 shares
2025-12-16
August Pfluger
SELL
2025-12-16
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