GAIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GAIN - Gladstone Investment Corporation
$13.83
-0.10 (-0.72%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GAIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GAIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.70
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.37
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GAIN is currently trading at $13.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.75 to $14.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GAIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GAIN is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $13.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$13.75 -
$14.00
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
45th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 45th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.75 -
$14.00
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.86
(6.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.56
Resistance Level
$14.20
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.70
Wall Street Target
$14.17
(+1.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
77.0%
Profit Margin
95.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.13
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$14.32
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$14.52
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.0%)
$22.93
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 5.0%)
$16.14
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 5.0%)
$13.72
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$7.61
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 6.1
Base Case
$6.92
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 5.5
Bear Case
$9.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GAIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GAIN price and gamma walls.
