GBLI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBLI - Global Indemnity Group, LLC
$28.63
-0.36 (-1.24%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GBLI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GBLI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.23
16.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBLI is currently trading at $28.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.07 to $29.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBLI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GBLI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+89.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBLI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GBLI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+89.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$28.07 -
$29.04
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 89.7% below Wall St target ($55.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 2.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.07 -
$29.04
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.50
Resistance Level
$29.37
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.60
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+89.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.19
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$29.40
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$29.60
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 55.3%)
$253.63
(+775%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 55.3%)
$97.84
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 55.3%)
$83.17
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.94
Bull Case
$55.41
(+94%)
Analyst growth 73.7%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$50.38
(+76%)
Market implied 73.7%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case
$19.72
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GBLI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Nicole Francois Reilly
BUY
100 shares
2025-08-12
Evan Jacob Kasowitz
BUY
106 shares
2025-08-11
Praveen Kotha Reddy
BUY
2000 shares
2025-08-08
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Advanced GBLI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GBLI price and gamma walls.
