GD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GD - General Dynamics Corporation
$351.09
1.14 (0.33%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$556.00
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$345.23
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GD is currently trading at $351.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $344.53 to $364.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $343.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.01 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $343.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.01 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$344.53 -
$364.38
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($393.01)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$344.53 -
$364.38
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$343.80
Resistance Level
$369.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.35
Wall Street Target
$393.01
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.4 vs 20.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$339.45
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$329.27
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$319.39
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$349.91
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.5%)
$590.17
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 11.5%)
$485.54
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 11.5%)
$412.71
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.43
Bull Case
$452.35
(+29%)
Analyst growth 12.2%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$411.23
(+18%)
Market implied 12.2%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$249.30
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 20.1
Stabilization Target:
$383.40
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark Malcolm
SELL
3220 shares
2025-09-12
Christopher J Brady
SELL
8150 shares
2025-08-25
Mark Malcolm
SELL
1210 shares
2025-08-22
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