GENC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GENC - Gencor Industries, Inc.
$14.66
0.04 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
-2.14%
30d:
-6.15%
90d:
+16.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
Get Alerted When GENC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GENC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GENC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.31
Based on -5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GENC is currently trading at $14.66, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.59 to $15.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.82, while resistance sits at $15.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.60 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.82, while resistance sits at $15.40.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.60 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$14.59 -
$15.67
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($17.60)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.59 -
$15.67
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.36
(9.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.83
Resistance Level
$15.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.47
Wall Street Target
$17.60
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-9.8%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 16.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$14.46
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$14.35
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$14.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -14.4%)
$14.50
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: -14.4%)
$10.69
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: -14.4%)
$9.08
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 14.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.04
Bull Case
$14.38
(-4%)
Analyst growth -14.4%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$13.08
(-13%)
Market implied -14.4%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$10.39
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 16.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.95
(+2.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GENC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$736 | 44 HOLD |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$664 | 56 HOLD |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$14 | 58 HOLD |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$125 | 57 HOLD |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$173 | 51 HOLD |
