GENC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GENC - Gencor Industries, Inc.
$14.34
0.43 (3.09%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 09, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GENC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GENC is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.55
Based on -6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.93
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GENC is currently trading at $14.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.98 to $13.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GENC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$12.98 -
$13.97
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GENC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.98 -
$13.97
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.33
(9.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.33
Resistance Level
$14.42
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.36
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
36.7%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.95
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$13.99
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$14.04
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -17.5%)
$13.82
(+-1%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: -17.5%)
$10.14
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: -17.5%)
$8.62
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.07
Bull Case
$11.82
(-18%)
Analyst growth -20.6%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$10.75
(-25%)
Market implied -20.6%, PE stable at 12.6
Bear Case
$9.20
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GENC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GENC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GENC price and gamma walls.
