GFI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFI - Gold Fields Ltd ADR
$48.13
2.73 (6.01%)
▲
5d:
+13.86%
30d:
-6.01%
90d:
+9.09%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Get Alerted When GFI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.32
21.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFI is currently trading at $48.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.33 to $54.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GFI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: GFI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$42.33 -
$54.83
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.0%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.66)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.33 -
$54.83
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.38
Resistance Level
$48.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.29
Wall Street Target
$47.66
(-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
63.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
163.3%
Profit Margin
28.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.36
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$46.60
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$45.86
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$48.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 34.7%)
$233.00
(+384%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 34.7%)
$117.74
(+145%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 34.7%)
$100.08
(+108%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$90.84
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$82.58
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$28.08
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$50.71
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GFI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$256 | 53 HOLD |
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$57 | 56 HOLD |
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
BUY
20 analysts |
$142 | 64 BUY |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$192 | 56 HOLD |
|
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$61 | 56 HOLD |
