GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares
$43.75
-0.49 (-1.11%)
▼
5d:
-1.84%
30d:
-8.03%
90d:
+25.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
GFS is down 7.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $55 2026-04-17 with 15,573 OI. Call ratio: 84% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GFS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GFS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.81
24.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $43.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.95 to $47.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.54, while resistance sits at $47.76.
Market Sentiment: GFS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.30 (+17.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.54, while resistance sits at $47.76.
Market Sentiment: GFS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.30 (+17.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$42.95 -
$47.57
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GFS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.30)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$42.95 -
$47.57
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.54
Resistance Level
$47.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.48
Wall Street Target
$51.30
(+17.2%)
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 20.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.48
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$41.25
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$40.05
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→20)
$43.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 28.7%)
$103.68
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 28.7%)
$93.17
(+113%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.7, Growth: 28.7%)
$79.20
(+81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.59
Bull Case
$70.54
(+61%)
Analyst growth 48.9%, PE expands to 29.8
Base Case
$64.13
(+46%)
Market implied 48.9%, PE stable at 27.1
Bear Case
$29.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$47.81
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 6:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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