GFS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GFS - GlobalFoundries Inc. Ordinary Shares

Semiconductors & Related Devices
$42.18
-0.02 (-0.05%) ▼
5d: -4.61%
30d: +20.79%
90d: +16.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026 7d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GFS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.98
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.86
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GFS is currently trading at $42.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.51 to $44.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GFS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.13, while resistance sits at $48.56.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $37.51 - $44.40
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($40.28)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $37.51 - $44.40
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.13
Resistance Level $48.57
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.36
Wall Street Target $40.28 (-4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 37.5%
Profit Margin -0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.8% premium
PE vs Historical 22.4 vs 20.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $43.36 (+3%)
2-Year Target $44.58 (+6%)
3-Year Target $45.82 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→21) PE COMPRESSION $42.22 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.0%) $64.18 (+52%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.0%) $64.01 (+52%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 15.0%) $54.41 (+29%)
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GFS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GFS price and gamma walls.

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