GIL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

GIL - Gildan Activewear Inc.

Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl
$64.98
-1.01 (-1.53%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GIL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.84
13.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: GIL is currently trading at $64.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.40 to $65.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, GIL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.16, while resistance sits at $67.96.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.78 (+19.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $62.40 - $65.51
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.9%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($78.78)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 2.2% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $62.40 - $65.51
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $62.16
Resistance Level $67.96
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.61
Wall Street Target $78.78 (+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -2.1%
Profit Margin 14.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 14.6 vs 13.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $67.38 (+2%)
2-Year Target $68.79 (+4%)
3-Year Target $70.24 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $65.88 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 29.6%) $219.11 (+232%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 29.6%) $143.52 (+118%)
Bear: (PE: 12.4, Growth: 29.6%) $121.99 (+85%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case $105.03 (+62%)
Analyst growth 45.3%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case $95.48 (+47%)
Market implied 45.3%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case $44.70 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced GIL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GIL price and gamma walls.

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