GLAD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GLAD - Gladstone Capital Corp
$20.61
-0.07 (-0.34%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GLAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GLAD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.78
Based on 0.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.90
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GLAD is currently trading at $20.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.39 to $21.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GLAD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GLAD is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GLAD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$20.39 -
$21.01
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GLAD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 0.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$20.39 -
$21.01
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.88
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.18
Resistance Level
$21.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.02
Wall Street Target
$22.50
(+9.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.0%
Profit Margin
64.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.73
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$20.86
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$20.98
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.56
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -2.8%)
$38.33
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: -2.8%)
$18.94
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.4, Growth: -2.8%)
$16.10
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$16.46
(-20%)
Analyst growth -26.7%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$14.97
(-27%)
Market implied -26.7%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case
$13.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GLAD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced GLAD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GLAD price and gamma walls.
