GNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$14.62
0.04 (0.27%)
▲
5d:
+3.32%
30d:
+4.13%
90d:
+4.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.23
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.98
41.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $14.62, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.83 to $14.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.1) compared to its historical average (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GNE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.83 -
$14.40
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.83 -
$14.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.37
Resistance Level
$14.48
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.07
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-73.1%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.1 vs 22.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.16
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.84
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.66
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→23)
$15.06
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 42.2%)
$56.97
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.1, Growth: 42.2%)
$42.03
(+188%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.7, Growth: 42.2%)
$35.72
(+144%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.77
Bull Case
$18.95
(+30%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$17.23
(+18%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$9.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.1 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$20.66
(+41.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+41.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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