GNE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNE - GENIE ENERGY LTD
$13.05
-0.91 (-6.52%)
▼
5d:
-11.1%
30d:
-5.16%
90d:
-7.58%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GNE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.49
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.28
43.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNE is currently trading at $13.05, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.58 to $14.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.9) compared to its historical average (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: GNE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+22.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: GNE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+22.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.58 -
$14.36
Company Quality Score
40/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($16.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.58 -
$14.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.69
Resistance Level
$14.88
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.91
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.7%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.9 vs 24.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.75
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$10.57
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$9.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→25)
$14.82
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 22.4%)
$33.13
(+154%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.9, Growth: 22.4%)
$23.92
(+83%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 22.4%)
$20.34
(+56%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.06
Bull Case
$11.88
(-9%)
Analyst growth -22.6%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$10.80
(-17%)
Market implied -22.6%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$9.49
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.9 to 24.8
Stabilization Target:
$20.34
(+55.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+55.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 7:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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