GRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GRMN - Garmin Ltd
$238.46
0.89 (0.37%)
▲
5d:
+1.01%
30d:
-5.07%
90d:
+17.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
Smart Money Accumulation
GRMN is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $230 2026-06-18 with 412 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GRMN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$324.07
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$201.22
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GRMN is currently trading at $238.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $232.75 to $248.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (23.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $225.37, while resistance sits at $245.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GRMN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $225.37, while resistance sits at $245.83.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$232.75 -
$248.73
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($260.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$232.75 -
$248.73
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$13.86
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$225.37
Resistance Level
$245.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.36
Wall Street Target
$260.25
(+9.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
23.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 23.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$236.86
(0%)
2-Year Target
$236.15
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$235.44
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$237.87
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 8.4%)
$302.38
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.4%)
$289.32
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 8.4%)
$245.92
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.60
Bull Case
$302.27
(+27%)
Analyst growth 18.3%, PE expands to 29.7
Base Case
$274.79
(+15%)
Market implied 18.3%, PE stable at 27.0
Bear Case
$158.00
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.4 to 23.6
Stabilization Target:
$240.02
(+1.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 2:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GRMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Douglas G Boessen
SELL
3487 shares
2026-02-26
Matthew Munn
SELL
5275 shares
2026-02-26
Patrick Desbois
SELL
6694 shares
2026-02-26
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Advanced GRMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's GRMN price and gamma walls.
