GROY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GROY - Gold Royalty Corp.
$4.28
-0.37 (-7.96%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GROY is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: GROY is down 10.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GROY is currently trading at $4.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.18 to $4.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 61.1) compared to its historical average (88.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GROY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.96 (+39.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GROY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.96 (+39.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$4.18 -
$4.86
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 39.4% below Wall St target ($5.96)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.18 -
$4.86
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.19
Resistance Level
$5.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
61.14
Wall Street Target
$5.96
(+39.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
101.4%
Profit Margin
-44.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
61.1 vs 88.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.85
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.47
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.12
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 61→89)
$4.53
(+6%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 61.1 to 88.7
Stabilization Target:
$6.21
(+45.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
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Is GROY showing a specific setup today?
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